Week Ahead: Economic Indicators (Europe)

Hey, Traders!
For the October 27th week, here is a list of all of the major economic indicators being released during the EU Session, with a brief synopsis of what they represent and what to possibly expect from the markets in reaction.

Monday
French, German Eurozone and UK Manufacturing PMI’s
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector; below 50 indicates contraction. Traders watch these surveys closely as purchasing managers usually have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
What to expect:
A reading above 50 signals rising activity versus the previous month and the closer to zero the faster is activity contracting. The data are compiled by the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply and Markit.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as bullish for the GBP/EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as bearish for the GBP/EUR.

Swiss CPI
The consumer price index (CPI) is an average measure of the level of the prices of goods and services bought for the purpose of consumption by the vast majority of households.
What to expect:
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CHF, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CHF.

Wednesday
German Industrial Orders
Manufacturers’ orders are a leading indicator for industrial production.
The figures are calculated every month by the Federal Statistical Office and represent the value of all orders for the delivery of self-made products confirmed by industrial enterprises with 50 or more employees in the respective reporting period.
The results are broken down by both sector and region of origin (domestic and foreign split into euro area and non-euro area). Monthly volatility can be very high, so moving averages give a much better guide to underlying trends.
What to Expect
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.

French, German , Eurozone and UK Serives & Composite PMI’s
Services
The Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) provides an estimate of service sector business activity for the preceding month by using information obtained from a representative sector survey incorporating transport and communication, financial intermediation, business services, personal services, computing and IT and hotels and restaurants. Results are compiled into a single index which can range between zero and 100.
Composite
The Composite PMI Index measures the activity level of purchasing managers in both sectors (manufacturing and services).
What to expect:
A reading above 50 signals rising activity versus the previous month and the closer to zero the faster is activity contracting. The data are compiled by the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply and Markit.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as bullish for the GBP/EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as bearish for the GBP/EUR.

Thursday
German Industrial Production
German industrial production measures the total output of factories, mines, and utilities in Germany. It shows how much goods and materials Germany’s industrial sector is producing and is an important indicator of the country’s economic health.
What to Expect
If German industrial production comes in above the forecast, it signals stronger economic activity and is likely positive for the euro and European markets; if it falls short, it may raise concerns about growth and weigh on sentiment.

BoE Interest Rate
Check out our Interest Rate Prep Document.