Morning Juice – US Session Prep (30th April)

Sentiment
A gauge of the dollar and Treasury yields fell as Brent crude pulled back from a move toward a four-year high, with attention turning to US PCE, initial jobless claims, and Q1 growth data after the Fed decision highlighted growing divisions over the policy outlook.

Docket
08:30 ET
US PCE Price Index for March
YoY – Forecast: 3.5% | Prior: 2.8% | Range: 3.8% / 3.1%
MoM – Forecast: 0.7% | Prior: 0.4% | Range: 1% / 0.5%
Core YoY – Forecast: 3.2% | Prior: 3% | Range: 3.3% / 2.9%
Core MoM – Forecast: 0.3% | Prior: 0.4% | Range: 0.4% / 0.2%
Consumer Spending MoM – Forecast: 0.9% | Prior: 0.5% | Range: 1.3% / 0.5%

08:30 ET
US GDP Q1 Advance
QoQ – Forecast: 2.3% | Prior: 0.5% | Range: 3.8% / 0.5%
Price Index – Forecast: 3.9% | Prior: 3.7% | Range: 4.4% / 2.8%

08:30 ET
US Weekly Jobless Claims
Initial Claims – Forecast: 212k | Prior: 214k | Range: 228k / 205k
Continued Claims – Forecast: 1.815M | Prior: 1.821M | Range: 1.841M / 1.757M

Speakers
08:45 ET
ECB Press Conference with President Lagarde following the ECB policy meeting.

11:30 ET
Trump Phone Interview

Earnings
16:00 ET
RIVN Q1 2026 Earnings
Est. EPS: -60c
Est. Rev: $1.38B

16:30 ET
AAPL Q2 2026 Earnings
Est. EPS: $1.96
Est. Rev: $109.66B

Good luck!